PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

coinflip123

0xf2f52144a3936d4400b52ad6a2e4dbd7993e137e

Realised P&L
$-3.0k
Volume
$721.1k
Markets traded
534
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded534
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6850.715$286.00+$12.00
Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $2M? · Yes0.8930.979$211.38+$18.44
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.4220.485$194.00+$25.00
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 105m? · Yes0.4440.613$184.28+$50.87
Blue tsunami in 2026? · Yes0.5900.675$135.00+$17.00
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m? · Yes0.0890.175$89.25+$44.05
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m? · Yes0.1020.183$86.37+$38.18
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 43m? · Yes0.0580.111$82.19+$39.10
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 28m? · Yes0.1660.240$63.75+$19.70
Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m? · Yes0.0550.075$61.47+$16.14
Will "Ali G: Who Iz I?" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $6M? · No0.6540.981$31.27+$10.43
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m? · Yes0.1500.185$18.50+$3.50
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m? · Yes0.0540.030$18.30−$14.28
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 75m? · Yes0.0400.015$11.39−$19.78
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 65m? · Yes0.0540.015$11.23−$27.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:32Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?BUY0.0866686041$26.39
11-01 22:26Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?SELL0.02$6.94
11-01 19:32Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?BUY0.0467473066$8.20
11-01 18:22Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $10M?SELL0.0013888889$0.13
11-01 17:21Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 43m?BUY0.059786123$23.20
11-01 16:22Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m?BUY0.0354122$7.08
11-01 16:00Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 43m?BUY0.054$14.75
11-01 15:54Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?BUY0.001$0.11
11-01 15:24Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?BUY0.097$11.35
11-01 15:23Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?BUY0.097$9.07
11-01 15:22Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?BUY0.088$1.76
11-01 10:10Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?SELL0.003$0.27
11-01 10:10Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?SELL0.0153333333$4.60
10-31 23:48Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?BUY0.0483592814$1.62
10-31 22:16Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?SELL0.0041739304$0.42