coinflip123
0xf2f52144a3936d4400b52ad6a2e4dbd7993e137e
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $721.1k
- Markets traded
- 534
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded534
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.280Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?
- +$1.1kat 0.218Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?
- +$715.02at 0.859Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?
- +$622.84at 0.320Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?
- +$611.05at 0.091Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:32 | Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m? | BUY | 0.0866686041 | $26.39 |
| 11-01 22:26 | Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m? | SELL | 0.02 | $6.94 |
| 11-01 19:32 | Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m? | BUY | 0.0467473066 | $8.20 |
| 11-01 18:22 | Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $10M? | SELL | 0.0013888889 | $0.13 |
| 11-01 17:21 | Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 43m? | BUY | 0.059786123 | $23.20 |
| 11-01 16:22 | Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 85m? | BUY | 0.0354122 | $7.08 |
| 11-01 16:00 | Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 43m? | BUY | 0.054 | $14.75 |
| 11-01 15:54 | Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.11 |
| 11-01 15:24 | Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m? | BUY | 0.097 | $11.35 |
| 11-01 15:23 | Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m? | BUY | 0.097 | $9.07 |
| 11-01 15:22 | Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m? | BUY | 0.088 | $1.76 |
| 11-01 10:10 | Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.27 |
| 11-01 10:10 | Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m? | SELL | 0.0153333333 | $4.60 |
| 10-31 23:48 | Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m? | BUY | 0.0483592814 | $1.62 |
| 10-31 22:16 | Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m? | SELL | 0.0041739304 | $0.42 |