Herojianshu
0xf2f3677ceef94e56a4c462280a5ebcbbe98be016
- Realised P&L
- $38.54
- Volume
- $24.5k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $207.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.750 | $162.25 | −$2.16 |
| Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.365 | $35.08 | +$6.25 |
| Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? · Yes | 0.315 | 0.044 | $8.90 | −$54.10 |
| Hyperliquid open interest flipped in 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.021 | $0.82 | −$9.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$252.20at 0.546Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
- +$241.47at 0.830Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?
- +$202.09at 0.510Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?
- +$124.79at 0.197Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
- +$79.00at 0.210Will crypto payment cards volume hit $1.5B by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-23 12:50 | Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-25? | BUY | 0.22 | $10.49 |
| 04-20 19:24 | Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-20? | SELL | 0.66 | $396.00 |
| 04-15 20:04 | Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15? | BUY | 0.83 | $1.2k |
| 03-28 12:43 | EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.88 | $880.00 |
| 03-21 13:57 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.76 | $760.00 |
| 03-20 03:39 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8 | $705.60 |
| 03-12 23:56 | Will Backpack launch a token on March 24? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 01-20 11:57 | Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.0155 | $3.10 |
| 01-20 07:35 | Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.603454 | $181.04 |
| 01-20 06:12 | Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $147.98 |
| 01-17 16:50 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 01-16 05:05 | Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.8073782 | $161.48 |
| 01-13 07:07 | Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $430.38 |
| 01-13 06:28 | Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.9788135637 | $421.69 |
| 01-08 12:39 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.08 |