PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

zeliasica

0xf2f2f96c438da7a5570b09e4caf9bee57cd103e0

Realised P&L
$-160.40
Volume
$38.3k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$29.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: Rams (-4.5) · Broncos0.6400.660$10.31+$0.31
Curaçao vs. Nicaragua: O/U 1.5 · Over0.8000.795$9.94−$0.06
Exact Score: Columbus Crew 2 - 3 Inter Miami CF? · No0.9560.857$8.96−$1.04
Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 50.5 · Under0.5800.001$0.01−$9.99
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by March 31? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$6.00
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$1.00
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Group Stage · Procyon Gaming0.6400.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00−$1.00
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$1.00
ITF Gentofte: Rebecca Munk Mortensen vs Tahlia Kokkinis · Tahlia Kokkinis0.3720.000$0.00−$5.00
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00−$1.00
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 21:31Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5BUY0.64$10.00
09-27 21:04Curaçao vs. Nicaragua: O/U 1.5BUY0.8$10.00
09-27 20:57Cardinals vs. 49ers: O/U 50.5BUY0.5799999768$10.00
09-27 20:54Spread: Rams (-4.5)BUY0.64$10.00
09-27 20:52Exact Score: Columbus Crew 2 - 3 Inter Miami CF?BUY0.956$10.00
09-27 19:07Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)BUY0.699999993$10.00
09-27 18:41Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Group StageBUY0.64$10.00
09-23 16:05Exact Score: Seattle Sounders FC 3 - 1 Real Salt Lake?BUY0.9369999988$10.00
09-23 01:25Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5BUY0.64$10.00
09-22 01:40Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5BUY0.01$10.00
08-12 09:49Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0190000001$10.00
07-27 08:10San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos PradoSELL0.42$4.88
07-27 08:08San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos PradoBUY0.4299999871$5.00
07-25 17:16Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.2489999661$5.00
07-22 15:30ITF Gentofte: Rebecca Munk Mortensen vs Tahlia KokkinisBUY0.3725489904$5.00