0xF2E7D7fCCa0eaee6F1740402c1118F6f8C53843E-1762645663917
0xf2e7d7fcca0eaee6f1740402c1118f6f8c53843e
- Realised P&L
- $-3.1k
- Volume
- $343.0k
- Markets traded
- 268
- Open portfolio
- $157.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded268
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$615.98at 0.064Will Rodri join Barcelona?
- +$467.08at 0.275Will the Centre Party (C) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- +$254.35at 0.448Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
- +$241.70at 0.353WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on April 20?
- +$200.51at 0.474Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 08:19 | Will Grüne win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.28 | $8.40 |
| 09-13 18:51 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | BUY | 0.039 | $1.69 |
| 09-13 16:49 | Will the Centre Party (C) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.25 | $50.00 |
| 09-13 10:07 | Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.39 | $26.38 |
| 09-13 00:32 | Will the Centre Party (C) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.52 | $5.16 |
| 09-13 00:29 | Will the Centre Party (C) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.24 | $38.97 |
| 09-13 00:26 | Will the Centre Party (C) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.23 | $24.31 |
| 09-12 23:45 | Will the Centre Party (C) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.52 | $17.04 |
| 09-12 23:39 | Will the Left Party (V) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.34 | $34.00 |
| 09-12 23:38 | Will the Left Party (V) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 09-12 23:22 | Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.46 | $13.66 |
| 09-12 22:59 | Will Centre Party (C) win at least 9% of all valid votes? | SELL | 0.113 | $0.57 |
| 09-12 22:59 | Will Centre Party (C) win at least 9% of all valid votes? | SELL | 0.113 | $0.57 |
| 09-12 22:58 | Will Centre Party (C) win at least 9% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.121 | $1.21 |
| 09-12 20:16 | Will the Left Party (V) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.33 | $33.00 |