hfefadwshfjy
0xf2dad491865e953c89c50ec5f446b062240aa33b
- Realised P&L
- $-50.23
- Volume
- $15.6k
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $706.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? · No | 0.958 | 0.962 | $269.22 | +$0.98 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No | 0.998 | 0.997 | $161.43 | −$0.24 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $155.38 | −$0.47 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.988 | 0.996 | $70.17 | +$0.53 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $30? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.995 | $50.74 | −$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.39at 0.826Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
- +$21.50at 0.760US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$7.35at 0.991Will XRP reach $2.10 May 11-17?
- +$5.80at 0.971Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in August?
- +$3.80at 0.981Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 10:50 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $30? | BUY | 0.999 | $50.95 |
| 10-12 10:50 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $155.84 |
| 10-10 03:20 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $161.68 |
| 10-10 01:20 | Will XRP dip to $0.90 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 10-10 01:20 | Will XRP reach $2.20 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 10-10 01:19 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.958 | $268.24 |
| 10-09 23:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.9879429648 | $69.64 |
| 09-26 01:22 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 28 – Oct 2? | BUY | 0.9967683216 | $70.00 |
| 09-26 01:21 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 28 – Oct 2? | BUY | 0.9898086075 | $25.00 |
| 09-26 01:21 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.90 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $167.31 |
| 09-26 01:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $14.17 |
| 09-21 01:50 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $67.93 |
| 09-21 01:42 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 21 above $10? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-21 00:54 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 09-21 00:54 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |