PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hfefadwshfjy

0xf2dad491865e953c89c50ec5f446b062240aa33b

Realised P&L
$-50.23
Volume
$15.6k
Markets traded
99
Open portfolio
$706.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded99
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9580.962$269.22+$0.98
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No0.9980.997$161.43−$0.24
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No0.9990.996$155.38−$0.47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 12 2026? · No0.9880.996$70.17+$0.53
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $30? · Yes0.9990.995$50.74−$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 10:50Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $30?BUY0.999$50.95
10-12 10:50Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?BUY0.999$155.84
10-10 03:20Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?BUY0.998$161.68
10-10 01:20Will XRP dip to $0.90 October 5-11?BUY0.999$99.90
10-10 01:20Will XRP reach $2.20 October 5-11?BUY0.999$99.90
10-10 01:19Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.958$268.24
10-09 23:46Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.9879429648$69.64
09-26 01:22Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 28 – Oct 2?BUY0.9967683216$70.00
09-26 01:21Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 28 – Oct 2?BUY0.9898086075$25.00
09-26 01:21Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.90 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.99$167.31
09-26 01:20Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.97$14.17
09-21 01:50Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25?BUY0.999$67.93
09-21 01:42Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 21 above $10?BUY0.999$14.98
09-21 00:54Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.99$99.00
09-21 00:54Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.99$99.00