PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

HarryLoudini

0xf2d531529f456670d9ca94317660d6d16283aba1

Realised P&L
$-51.22
Volume
$7.6k
Markets traded
157
Open portfolio
$154.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded157
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5700.305$26.84−$23.32
Decibel FDV above $20M one day after launch? · Yes0.5250.635$25.40+$4.40
Will Saturn launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4500.750$22.50+$9.00
Will Saturn launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.6000.954$19.08+$7.08
Saturn FDV above $50M one day after launch · Yes0.7000.875$13.13+$2.63
Saturn FDV above $100M one day after launch · Yes0.6200.505$7.58−$1.73
Linera FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.2500.230$6.90−$0.60
TownSquare FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.6200.670$6.70+$0.50
Will Curvance launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5370.159$4.77−$11.33
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.6400.200$4.00−$8.80
Linera FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.7000.195$3.90−$10.10
Will OnRe launch a token by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.4500.255$3.83−$2.92
Will LAB reach $20 before 2027? · Yes0.5100.262$2.62−$2.48
Will Perpl launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.6000.255$2.55−$3.45
Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch? · Yes0.1200.055$1.10−$1.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 20:45Will Linera launch a token by March 31, 2027?SELL0.15$2.25
09-02 10:32Will Linera launch a token by September 30, 2027?SELL0.18$12.60
08-29 11:16Will Linera launch a token by September 30, 2027?BUY0.21$21.00
08-29 11:15Will Linera launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.56$11.20
08-29 11:14Will Linera launch a token by March 31, 2027?BUY0.56$11.20
07-24 14:02Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24?SELL0.3713333333$5.57
06-15 17:15Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.78$11.70
06-04 12:49Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4?BUY0.718$2.18
05-28 19:00XMAQUINA FDV above $60M one day after launch?SELL0.57$7.60
05-28 18:59XMAQUINA FDV above $60M one day after launch?SELL0.58$3.87
05-08 15:11Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 8?SELL0.05$1.00
05-07 17:12Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 8?BUY0.054$2.70
05-07 16:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?BUY0.08$4.00
05-07 10:31Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 7?BUY0.229$11.45
05-06 09:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?BUY0.454$2.27