HarryLoudini
0xf2d531529f456670d9ca94317660d6d16283aba1
- Realised P&L
- $-51.22
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 157
- Open portfolio
- $154.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded157
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.85at 0.650Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
- +$59.39at 0.605Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
- +$44.10at 0.150Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 7?
- +$36.96at 0.580Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?
- +$29.90at 0.422Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 20:45 | Will Linera launch a token by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $2.25 |
| 09-02 10:32 | Will Linera launch a token by September 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.18 | $12.60 |
| 08-29 11:16 | Will Linera launch a token by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.21 | $21.00 |
| 08-29 11:15 | Will Linera launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 08-29 11:14 | Will Linera launch a token by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 07-24 14:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24? | SELL | 0.3713333333 | $5.57 |
| 06-15 17:15 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.78 | $11.70 |
| 06-04 12:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4? | BUY | 0.718 | $2.18 |
| 05-28 19:00 | XMAQUINA FDV above $60M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.57 | $7.60 |
| 05-28 18:59 | XMAQUINA FDV above $60M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.58 | $3.87 |
| 05-08 15:11 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 8? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 17:12 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 8? | BUY | 0.054 | $2.70 |
| 05-07 16:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 05-07 10:31 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 7? | BUY | 0.229 | $11.45 |
| 05-06 09:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6? | BUY | 0.454 | $2.27 |