0xF2ceC0769B2FE49dC849D678A9944A5740B4bcA1-1739051714403
0xf2cec0769b2fe49dc849d678a9944a5740b4bca1
- Realised P&L
- $-29.3k
- Volume
- $580.9k
- Markets traded
- 714
- Open portfolio
- $325.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded714
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins · Atlanta Braves | 0.550 | 0.875 | $206.82 | +$76.82 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals · Cleveland Guardians | 0.510 | 0.505 | $118.82 | −$1.18 |
| 76ers vs. Celtics · Celtics | 0.569 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals · Chicago Cubs | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$131.56 |
| Hornets vs. Pacers · Hornets | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.055 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bucks vs. Hornets · Bucks | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| 76ers vs. Cavaliers · 76ers | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.00 |
| Kings vs. Blues · Blues | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.00 |
| Lakers vs. Thunder · Lakers | 0.273 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$340.00 |
| Will Kenya win on 2025-11-18? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Pistons vs. Grizzlies · Grizzlies | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Islanders vs. Golden Knights · Golden Knights | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$400.00 |
| Jaguars vs. Texans · Jaguars | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Timberwolves vs. Lakers · Timberwolves | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.7kat 0.440Warriors vs. Rockets
- +$5.4kat 0.710Astros vs. Rockies
- +$5.4kat 0.599Astros vs. Rockies
- +$4.9kat 0.510Orioles vs. Athletics
- +$4.6kat 0.560Phillies vs. Marlins
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 15:16 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.5099999992 | $120.00 |
| 09-26 10:43 | Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.5499999985 | $130.00 |
| 09-26 02:22 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.6999999995 | $300.00 |
| 09-26 02:19 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers | SELL | 0.985 | $316.52 |
| 09-26 01:51 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.6099999993 | $196.02 |
| 09-26 01:40 | Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees | SELL | 0.9510927506 | $1.0k |
| 09-25 13:32 | Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.5299999996 | $560.97 |
| 09-25 13:25 | Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Jessica Pieri | SELL | 0.27 | $87.10 |
| 09-25 12:53 | Tolentino: Mia Ristic vs Jessica Pieri | BUY | 0.6199906999 | $200.00 |
| 07-11 18:09 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2899999995 | $292.12 |
| 06-03 20:43 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.64 | $1.5k |
| 06-02 12:26 | Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.5599999996 | $295.85 |
| 06-02 02:29 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.7 | $338.94 |
| 06-02 01:14 | San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers | SELL | 0.976 | $342.45 |
| 06-01 02:05 | Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BUY | 0.4799999982 | $96.04 |