PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Projektledaren

0xf2c433ab0f87f6fc7a26043351a5f0877ea9ecef

Realised P&L
$-5.22
Volume
$2.9k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$56.46

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5300.585$44.15+$4.15
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 88% or more? · Yes0.2000.099$12.31$12.69
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET · Down0.3630.000$0.00$7.37
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026? · No0.2700.000$0.00$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET · Down0.2640.000$0.00$263.68
XRP Up or Down - February 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET · Down0.3390.000$0.00$14.01
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes0.7780.000$0.00$7.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 04:39Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.5299999938$40.00
09-14 04:35Will the Centre Party (C) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.003$0.03
09-14 04:35Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.09$18.93
09-13 21:46Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.16$1.60
09-13 19:53Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.249500998$50.00
09-13 19:47Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.74$33.13
09-13 19:46Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes?SELL0.8646699124$44.40
09-13 11:54Will the Centre Party (C) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.5299999587$5.00
09-13 11:53Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?SELL0.0252729653$5.79
09-12 20:35Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.0714795971$16.38
09-12 20:32Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 88% or more?BUY0.2$25.00
09-12 20:30Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes?BUY0.5841584101$30.00
09-12 20:29Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.6699999911$30.00
09-12 20:28Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?SELL0.853$104.28
09-02 06:30Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?BUY0.4007361963$48.99