Projektledaren
0xf2c433ab0f87f6fc7a26043351a5f0877ea9ecef
- Realised P&L
- $-5.22
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $56.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.585 | $44.15 | +$4.15 |
| Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 88% or more? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.099 | $12.31 | −$12.69 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET · Down | 0.363 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.37 |
| US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET · Down | 0.264 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$263.68 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET · Down | 0.339 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.01 |
| Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes | 0.778 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.50at 0.410Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
- +$13.66at 0.594Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes?
- +$4.28at 0.688XRP Up or Down - February 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
- +$3.97at 0.609XRP Up or Down - February 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
- +$2.39at 0.679Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 04:39 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5299999938 | $40.00 |
| 09-14 04:35 | Will the Centre Party (C) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.03 |
| 09-14 04:35 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.09 | $18.93 |
| 09-13 21:46 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 09-13 19:53 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.249500998 | $50.00 |
| 09-13 19:47 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.74 | $33.13 |
| 09-13 19:46 | Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes? | SELL | 0.8646699124 | $44.40 |
| 09-13 11:54 | Will the Centre Party (C) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5299999587 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 11:53 | Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.0252729653 | $5.79 |
| 09-12 20:35 | Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0714795971 | $16.38 |
| 09-12 20:32 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 88% or more? | BUY | 0.2 | $25.00 |
| 09-12 20:30 | Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.5841584101 | $30.00 |
| 09-12 20:29 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.6699999911 | $30.00 |
| 09-12 20:28 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | SELL | 0.853 | $104.28 |
| 09-02 06:30 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | BUY | 0.4007361963 | $48.99 |