hubbleslake
0xf2c29fa94f5a18b1c68c00baee66155b89254de7
- Realised P&L
- $39.7k
- Volume
- $1.79M
- Markets traded
- 1,433
- Open portfolio
- $6.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,433
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.635 | 0.965 | $2.9k | +$1.0k |
| Will Alberta join the US? · No | 0.957 | 0.992 | $991.50 | +$34.19 |
| Ole Miss vs. Florida · Florida | 0.580 | 0.575 | $575.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · No | 0.868 | 0.932 | $536.95 | +$36.95 |
| Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina · Coastal Carolina | 0.440 | 0.445 | $445.00 | +$5.00 |
| Falcons vs. Packers · Falcons | 0.290 | 0.295 | $295.00 | +$5.00 |
| Jets vs. Lions · Jets | 0.270 | 0.275 | $275.00 | +$5.00 |
| Cardinals vs. 49ers · Cardinals | 0.220 | 0.215 | $215.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.556 | 0.570 | $89.23 | +$2.17 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.448 | 0.040 | $70.63 | −$730.39 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.235 | $2.35 | +$0.15 |
| Fresno State vs. San Jose State · San Jose State | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$570.00 |
| Grizzlies vs. Spurs · Grizzlies | 0.345 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$344.97 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Thunder · Trail Blazers | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$219.98 |
| Boise State vs. Nevada Wolf Pack · Nevada Wolf Pack | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.113Sharks vs. Oilers
- +$3.4kat 0.160Rockets vs. Kings
- +$3.4kat 0.160Jazz vs. Cavaliers
- +$2.8kat 0.435Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
- +$2.2kat 0.377Oilers vs. Jets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 02:49 | Cardinals vs. 49ers | BUY | 0.22 | $220.00 |
| 09-23 02:49 | Jets vs. Lions | BUY | 0.27 | $270.00 |
| 09-23 00:53 | Ole Miss vs. Florida | BUY | 0.58 | $580.00 |
| 09-22 16:43 | Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina | BUY | 0.44 | $440.00 |
| 09-22 16:40 | Falcons vs. Packers | BUY | 0.29 | $290.00 |
| 07-01 18:14 | Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6 | $130.00 |
| 07-01 17:07 | England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3699999983 | $110.00 |
| 07-01 17:06 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1039999135 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 17:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 17:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 06-05 19:25 | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BUY | 0.8678598572 | $500.00 |
| 06-05 17:07 | Will Alberta join the US? | BUY | 0.9573081025 | $957.31 |
| 05-01 06:00 | Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.031 | $9.95 |
| 04-29 16:49 | NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers | SELL | 0.35 | $21.00 |
| 04-25 17:40 | NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Mammoth vs. Golden Knights | BUY | 0.39 | $15.36 |