didot
0xf2bbd4a5a02780c14b7ec16a52a3e21a744cae21
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $220.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,851
- Open portfolio
- $54.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,851
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.917 | 0.910 | $54.60 | −$0.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$699.68at 0.567US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$190.78at 0.132US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
- +$145.88at 0.428Will It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$98.63at 0.079Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$88.80at 0.112Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 03:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-16 16:15 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 16? | SELL | 0.347616 | $17.38 |
| 09-16 16:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.789885 | $15.80 |
| 09-16 16:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 16? | SELL | 0.415956 | $20.80 |
| 09-16 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 16? | SELL | 0.4687483926 | $32.81 |
| 09-16 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 16? | SELL | 0.3114723204 | $10.58 |
| 09-16 16:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.69503 | $13.90 |
| 09-16 06:04 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 09-16 06:04 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.83059 | $16.61 |
| 09-16 05:57 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.867318 | $86.73 |
| 09-16 05:49 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.98 |
| 09-06 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.82 | $8.20 |
| 09-05 14:58 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 5? | SELL | 0.0308003201 | $3.08 |
| 09-05 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.3575 | $7.15 |
| 09-05 03:22 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 5? | BUY | 0.27 | $23.22 |