Sophiaqw
0xf2b8c28c18ddf81dbabf4648cbab24e7bb9c1ec9
- Realised P&L
- $-9.13
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $5.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 September 28-October 4? · No | 0.998 | 0.993 | $5.97 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.22at 0.989Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
- +$0.02at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
- +$0.02at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 24?
- +$0.01at 0.998Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 7-13?
- +$0.01at 0.998Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 22-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 01:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.00 |
| 09-12 06:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.47 |
| 07-23 07:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.997 | $6.66 |
| 07-14 06:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 14? | BUY | 0.9989999351 | $5.63 |
| 06-23 07:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 22-28? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.00 |
| 04-15 01:30 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.11 |
| 03-21 05:42 | Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $8.08 |
| 03-21 05:38 | Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.996 | $12.08 |
| 03-13 01:55 | Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.11 |
| 01-09 08:08 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.993 | $55.12 |
| 01-06 07:53 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.991 | $323.87 |
| 01-06 05:20 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.992 | $324.20 |
| 01-06 05:07 | Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL | 0.997 | $255.60 |
| 01-06 01:30 | Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga? | BUY | 0.998 | $255.86 |
| 01-05 08:04 | Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.992 | $237.40 |