0xf2ac8CBe0daf3Fdf098BA57D62535daC464cf897-1774456396768
0xf2ac8cbe0daf3fdf098ba57d62535dac464cf897
- Realised P&L
- $80.84
- Volume
- $13.8k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $56.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.37at 0.157Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
- +$67.28at 0.214NATO downs another Russian drone by September 15?
- +$39.50at 0.198Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?
- +$27.87at 0.413Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?
- +$22.19at 0.310US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 12:34 | Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31? | BUY | 0.0989999999 | $9.00 |
| 10-03 12:22 | Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31? | BUY | 0.0716239094 | $11.00 |
| 10-03 09:52 | Will USD be between 2.7M and 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31? | SELL | 0.1256448 | $7.85 |
| 10-03 09:07 | Will USD be between 2.6M and 2.7M Iranian rials on October 31? | SELL | 0.03 | $2.50 |
| 10-01 15:21 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 13:48 | Will USD be between 2.6M and 2.7M Iranian rials on October 31? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 13:47 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 13:20 | Will USD be between 2.7M and 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 13:12 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.1250625313 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 13:10 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | SELL | 0.3868509163 | $62.48 |
| 10-01 13:09 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 12:11 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.1388062645 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 12:02 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.1399999999 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 14:59 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? | BUY | 0.2290689485 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 14:58 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $10.00 |