0xf2a9f4d5ebf830ee089850e9864442989050087b
0xf2a9f4d5ebf830ee089850e9864442989050087b
- Realised P&L
- $35.40
- Volume
- $253.42
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $1.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar14.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium vs. France: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.640 | 0.635 | $1.92 | −$0.02 |
| Will Slovenia win on 2026-09-26? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.92 |
| Will LASK Linz win on 2026-09-08? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.15 |
| Will Armenia win on 2026-09-25? · No | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.93 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.92 |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.94 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET · Down | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.87 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET · Down | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.94 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.95 |
| Spread: Denmark (-1.5) · Wales | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.93 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.45 |
| Will Lithuania win on 2026-09-27? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.92 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.88 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26? · No | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.18at 0.608Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?
- +$16.65at 0.375Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-08?
- +$6.81at 0.688Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?
- +$3.91at 0.338Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
- +$3.41at 0.767Will Lithuania win on 2026-09-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 12:19 | Belgium vs. France: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.64 | $1.94 |
| 09-27 12:19 | Spread: Denmark (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5399998825 | $1.93 |
| 09-27 12:18 | Will Austria win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.6099999748 | $1.94 |
| 09-26 13:29 | Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.5299999176 | $1.93 |
| 09-26 13:28 | Will Slovenia win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.4099999851 | $1.92 |
| 09-25 12:47 | Spread: Poland (-1.5) | BUY | 0.64 | $2.91 |
| 09-25 12:46 | Spread: Germany (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5499999858 | $1.93 |
| 09-25 12:45 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.3899999939 | $1.92 |
| 09-25 12:44 | Will Lithuania win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.92 |
| 09-25 12:42 | Will Armenia win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.4799999204 | $1.93 |
| 09-25 12:39 | Will Poland win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.3699999422 | $1.92 |
| 09-25 12:36 | Will Italy win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.5799999098 | $1.93 |
| 09-25 12:30 | Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.469999929 | $1.92 |
| 09-25 12:28 | Spread: France (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4799999469 | $2.89 |
| 09-24 13:59 | Will Lithuania win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.97 |