PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xf2a9f4d5ebf830ee089850e9864442989050087b

0xf2a9f4d5ebf830ee089850e9864442989050087b

Realised P&L
$35.40
Volume
$253.42
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$1.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar14.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Belgium vs. France: O/U 2.5 · Over0.6400.635$1.92−$0.02
Will Slovenia win on 2026-09-26? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$1.92
Will LASK Linz win on 2026-09-08? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$4.15
Will Armenia win on 2026-09-25? · No0.4800.000$0.00−$1.93
Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$1.92
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$1.94
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET · Down0.5500.000$0.00−$3.87
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00−$1.94
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00−$1.95
Spread: Denmark (-1.5) · Wales0.5400.000$0.00−$1.93
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00−$2.45
Will Lithuania win on 2026-09-27? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$1.92
Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$2.88
Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26? · No0.5300.000$0.00−$1.93

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 12:19Belgium vs. France: O/U 2.5BUY0.64$1.94
09-27 12:19Spread: Denmark (-1.5)BUY0.5399998825$1.93
09-27 12:18Will Austria win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.6099999748$1.94
09-26 13:29Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.5299999176$1.93
09-26 13:28Will Slovenia win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.4099999851$1.92
09-25 12:47Spread: Poland (-1.5)BUY0.64$2.91
09-25 12:46Spread: Germany (-1.5)BUY0.5499999858$1.93
09-25 12:45Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.3899999939$1.92
09-25 12:44Will Lithuania win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.4$1.92
09-25 12:42Will Armenia win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.4799999204$1.93
09-25 12:39Will Poland win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.3699999422$1.92
09-25 12:36Will Italy win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.5799999098$1.93
09-25 12:30Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.469999929$1.92
09-25 12:28Spread: France (-1.5)BUY0.4799999469$2.89
09-24 13:59Will Lithuania win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.75$10.97