PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Raggen

0xf2a4645ae215d9b8401b0a15e96d1a742d202f08

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$808.6k
Markets traded
1,093
Open portfolio
$21.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,093
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0480.068$18.69+$5.40
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0070.004$2.63−$2.62
Will SK Brann win on 2026-10-09? · Yes0.0350.001$0.05−$3.45
Will SK Brann vs. Viking FK end in a draw? · Yes0.0900.001$0.03−$4.47
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$80.37
Exact Score: GNK Dinamo Zagreb 2 - 3 FK Kauno Žalgiris? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.05
Exact Score: Ranheim 0 - 0 FK Haugesund? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$1.30
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2350.000$0.00−$46.99
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-11? · Yes0.3040.000$0.00−$16.35
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Norway? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$2.50
Exact Score: Wrexham AFC 1 - 3 Watford FC? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$1.10
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 2 FK Bodø/Glimt? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-26? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 17:32Will SK Brann win on 2026-10-09?BUY0.035$0.18
10-06 20:31Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?SELL0.96$48.00
10-06 19:56Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.32$16.00
10-05 19:47Will France win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.32$14.40
10-05 19:45Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.07$15.62
10-04 19:56Will Norway win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.2$10.00
10-04 18:45Will Norway win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.21$10.50
10-04 18:44Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.041$20.99
10-03 19:43Will Switzerland vs. Slovenia end in a draw?BUY0.12$4.20
10-03 19:20Will Slovenia win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.09$4.50
10-03 16:27Will Croatia vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.05$5.00
10-03 16:27Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.016$16.00
10-03 16:19Will Croatia vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.15$6.75
10-03 16:19Will Croatia win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.05$5.00
10-03 16:00Will Croatia win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.2$10.00