jinguo1610711
0xf29a7ac78a64b18294c9ea2a3a8f3cd09b4ac04f
- Realised P&L
- $112.38
- Volume
- $43.0k
- Markets traded
- 249
- Open portfolio
- $0.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded249
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solana Up or Down on October 13? · Up | 0.042 | 0.021 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13? · Down | 0.250 | 0.009 | $0.05 | −$1.20 |
| Solana Up or Down on June 8? · Down | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10? · Down | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.01 |
| XRP Up or Down on June 12? · Down | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.05 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on June 8? · Down | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Dogecoin Up or Down on September 22? · Down | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.33 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? · Down | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.90 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on August 20? · Down | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.02 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? · Down | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.07 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on June 15? · Down | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.05 |
| XRP Up or Down on August 20? · Down | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.05 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 28? · Up | 0.161 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.09 |
| HYPE Up or Down on June 10? · Up | 0.279 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.62 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on June 24? · Up | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.72at 0.007Solana Up or Down on January 19?
- +$17.90at 0.105Solana Up or Down on February 2?
- +$17.75at 0.061XRP Up or Down on December 19?
- +$14.13at 0.617HYPE Up or Down on June 11?
- +$13.47at 0.021HYPE Up or Down on September 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 13:07 | Solana Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.042 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 13:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 10-13 05:10 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 13? | SELL | 0.41 | $3.42 |
| 10-12 12:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.01 |
| 10-05 12:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.01 |
| 09-29 07:52 | HYPE Up or Down on September 29? | BUY | 0.39 | $2.29 |
| 09-28 11:25 | BNB Up or Down on September 28? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 10:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 28? | BUY | 0.039 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 10:12 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 28? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 01:57 | Dogecoin Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.33 |
| 09-17 08:59 | Solana Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 07:58 | Solana Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.048 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 07:55 | Solana Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.045 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 07:54 | Solana Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.045 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 04:50 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.00 |