PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Kerguelen.

0xf294458cc49807bbf3ef58fa1ebcdcf5c184d8fd

Realised P&L
$-10.1k
Volume
$1.07M
Markets traded
1,022
Open portfolio
$125.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,022
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0020.001$125.62−$485.28
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 · Over0.1450.000$0.00−$120.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET · Up0.2390.000$0.00−$110.01
Bruins vs. Sabres · Sabres0.6170.000$0.00−$30.00
Marist Red Foxes vs. Siena Saints: O/U 134.5 · Over0.5200.000$0.00−$140.00
ODI Series Australia vs India, Women: Australia vs India · India0.1350.000$0.00−$21.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET · Up0.1930.000$0.00−$286.71
Lions vs. Bills: O/U 36.5 · Under0.0290.000$0.00−$8.78
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Akron Zips · Massachusetts Minutemen0.0800.000$0.00−$3.00
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves0.8000.000$0.00−$40.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET · Up0.1810.000$0.00−$11.00
Rockets vs. Thunder · Thunder0.3860.000$0.00−$12.00
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21? · No0.6200.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET · Down0.0870.000$0.00−$35.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 20:45Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETBUY0.4699999796$3.00
09-24 20:40Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETBUY0.25$100.00
09-24 20:36Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETBUY0.28$70.56
09-24 20:33Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.0599999999$10.00
09-24 20:32Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.3415693841$100.00
09-24 20:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETSELL0.350731696$150.66
09-24 20:30Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.2327823501$100.00
09-24 20:27Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.1975714286$82.98
09-24 20:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.33375$66.75
09-24 20:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.4799999985$100.00
09-24 20:21Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETBUY0.202512505$100.00
09-24 20:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETBUY0.4493260101$100.00
09-24 20:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETSELL0.3675714676$94.25
09-24 20:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETBUY0.64$100.00
09-24 20:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETBUY0.3899999991$100.00