Kerguelen.
0xf294458cc49807bbf3ef58fa1ebcdcf5c184d8fd
- Realised P&L
- $-10.1k
- Volume
- $1.07M
- Markets traded
- 1,022
- Open portfolio
- $125.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,022
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.338Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5
- +$1.3kat 0.706Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance
- +$1.1kat 0.637Mexico vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
- +$1.1kat 0.669Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
- +$1.1kat 0.393Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 20:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999796 | $3.00 |
| 09-24 20:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $100.00 |
| 09-24 20:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.28 | $70.56 |
| 09-24 20:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.0599999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 20:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.3415693841 | $100.00 |
| 09-24 20:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | SELL | 0.350731696 | $150.66 |
| 09-24 20:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.2327823501 | $100.00 |
| 09-24 20:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.1975714286 | $82.98 |
| 09-24 20:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.33375 | $66.75 |
| 09-24 20:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4799999985 | $100.00 |
| 09-24 20:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.202512505 | $100.00 |
| 09-24 20:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4493260101 | $100.00 |
| 09-24 20:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | SELL | 0.3675714676 | $94.25 |
| 09-24 20:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $100.00 |
| 09-24 20:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999991 | $100.00 |