huimieba
0xf29430cd7d9a37cb700c779b0363e26f27d53fcf
- Realised P&L
- $-4.92
- Volume
- $15.8k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $15.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.59at 0.500Will Elon tweet 300–314 times August 22–August 29?
- +$1.70at 0.983Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 7-14?
- +$0.60at 0.99410-year Treasury yield below 4% before April?
- +$0.28at 0.997Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$0.27at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 13:27 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.40 |
| 09-24 13:25 | Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) | BUY | 0.46 | $1.15 |
| 08-01 12:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.9989999687 | $15.50 |
| 06-08 10:34 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $86.00 |
| 06-08 10:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8? | BUY | 0.003 | $3.00 |
| 06-01 10:21 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 1? | BUY | 0.9989999898 | $89.00 |
| 05-23 07:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $89.00 |
| 05-17 11:38 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $89.00 |
| 05-13 08:58 | Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $89.00 |
| 05-13 08:57 | Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $3.00 |
| 05-07 11:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $92.00 |
| 05-04 11:49 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $92.00 |
| 04-26 11:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $90.99 |
| 04-26 11:04 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $3.30 |
| 04-23 12:47 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $94.99 |