marki01
0xf28fe54027fb3ef6a27b3989d360f002796a841a
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $301.8k
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $174.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$462.70at 0.196U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$345.07at 0.399Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
- +$266.19at 0.429Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$164.61at 0.400Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
- +$138.60at 0.580Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 14:45 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.124895786 | $9.90 |
| 10-16 14:30 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.1429999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 14:18 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.1267819006 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 14:14 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.1153555214 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 14:02 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.1046733402 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 13:08 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.23 |
| 10-16 09:00 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.153297122 | $48.20 |
| 10-16 08:32 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.1590049819 | $50.00 |
| 10-16 00:19 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 20 and 40 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.0443272 | $22.16 |
| 10-15 20:47 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 20 and 40 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.1 | $50.00 |
| 10-12 10:14 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $9.52 |
| 10-12 10:13 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 10-12 10:13 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 10-12 10:13 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 10-12 10:13 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |