PolyBot

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Traders

marki01

0xf28fe54027fb3ef6a27b3989d360f002796a841a

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$301.8k
Markets traded
118
Open portfolio
$174.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded118
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · No0.5130.853$163.78+$65.28
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) · Yes0.5300.055$10.38−$89.62
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1? · Yes0.1160.001$0.23−$52.90
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? · No0.0860.000$0.00−$11.18
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17) · Yes0.1070.000$0.00−$542.42
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 19, 2026? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$10.00
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? · No0.7700.000$0.00−$104.43
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$155.38
Over $35M committed to the Laso Finance public sale? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$48.00
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes0.3590.000$0.00−$69.72
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$111.00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.4210.000$0.00−$100.00
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 18? · Yes0.1620.000$0.00−$129.17
Claude 4.8 released by May 31? · No0.1800.000$0.00−$41.91
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$99.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 14:45Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1?BUY0.124895786$9.90
10-16 14:30Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1?BUY0.1429999999$10.00
10-16 14:18Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1?BUY0.1267819006$10.00
10-16 14:14Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1?BUY0.1153555214$10.00
10-16 14:02Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1?BUY0.1046733402$10.00
10-16 13:08Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1?BUY0.07$3.23
10-16 09:00Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1?SELL0.153297122$48.20
10-16 08:32Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1?BUY0.1590049819$50.00
10-16 00:19Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 20 and 40 million views on day 1?SELL0.0443272$22.16
10-15 20:47Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 20 and 40 million views on day 1?BUY0.1$50.00
10-12 10:14Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?BUY0.68$9.52
10-12 10:13Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?BUY0.67$6.70
10-12 10:13Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?BUY0.67$6.70
10-12 10:13Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?BUY0.67$6.70
10-12 10:13Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?BUY0.67$6.70