0xF28C7B2efA875580A79F8C8810DEFf374f51Cdf8-1774419743181
0xf28c7b2efa875580a79f8c8810deff374f51cdf8
- Realised P&L
- $-14.8k
- Volume
- $1.02M
- Markets traded
- 374
- Open portfolio
- $5.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded374
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.5kat 0.768US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.735Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.7kat 0.792Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
- +$1.2kat 0.664Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?
- +$1.2kat 0.627Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 06:05 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.63 | $6.75 |
| 10-18 06:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? | BUY | 0.9294290363 | $245.64 |
| 10-14 14:27 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.775 | $31.00 |
| 10-14 14:27 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.1985714286 | $27.80 |
| 10-14 14:22 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.82 | $147.60 |
| 10-14 11:03 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.85 | $1.3k |
| 10-14 07:39 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.6703254543 | $434.18 |
| 10-13 09:15 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.9193578424 | $57.27 |
| 10-13 09:14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.8512271846 | $210.80 |
| 10-10 18:07 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.7285883714 | $2.6k |
| 10-07 14:03 | Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.8993333333 | $134.90 |
| 10-07 13:58 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $32.39 |
| 10-07 13:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? | BUY | 0.6869853093 | $830.05 |
| 10-07 05:14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.0854714618 | $56.64 |
| 10-06 14:39 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.16452086 | $29.62 |