qopp
0xf281a2ad0ce04adb0e15ca18fab193d85281bb7b
- Realised P&L
- $19.89
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $133.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe · No | 0.975 | 0.978 | $97.75 | +$0.25 |
| Anthropic acquired before 2027? · No | 0.969 | 0.968 | $35.41 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.63at 0.960Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?
- +$3.24at 0.918US government Bitcoin reserves in 2024?
- +$2.33at 0.910Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
- +$2.33at 0.940Base airdrop in Q1 2025?
- +$2.01at 0.866 Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 08:04 | Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.997 | $11.52 |
| 06-10 08:02 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 06-10 07:59 | Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.97 |
| 06-10 07:59 | Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.10 |
| 12-16 04:54 | Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025? | BUY | 0.9929999928 | $122.02 |
| 12-16 04:53 | Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025? | SELL | 0.9948557028 | $103.62 |
| 09-03 07:20 | Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025? | BUY | 0.9599999962 | $100.00 |
| 06-22 05:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | BUY | 0.997 | $110.00 |
| 05-20 02:34 | Will Ethereum reach $8000 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $117.88 |
| 05-20 02:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50k in May? | SELL | 0.997 | $398.80 |
| 05-20 02:32 | Will Kim Dong-yeon be elected the next president of South Korea? | SELL | 0.999 | $34.97 |
| 05-20 02:31 | Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy by May 31? | SELL | 0.997 | $626.12 |
| 05-19 08:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50k in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $399.20 |
| 05-19 08:50 | Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy by May 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $626.74 |
| 04-25 07:31 | Will Kim Dong-yeon be elected the next president of South Korea? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.97 |