uriv
0xf27e9e04176e0f8435afea9ced88751700caf816
- Realised P&L
- $2.80
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $524.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Yashar win less than 16% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · No | 0.791 | 0.999 | $418.37 | +$86.71 |
| Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.565 | $45.20 | +$22.00 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.271 | 0.440 | $39.60 | +$15.21 |
| Will Shas win less than 6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · No | 0.660 | 0.378 | $21.55 | −$16.07 |
| Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$2.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$323.27at 0.333Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$201.74at 0.568Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- +$130.69at 0.150Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$41.24at 0.276Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
- +$13.00at 0.948Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 20:41 | Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.0010315067 | $0.77 |
| 10-27 20:40 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.84 | $29.40 |
| 10-27 20:40 | Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.12474 | $4.37 |
| 10-27 20:40 | Will Yashar win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.1099662921 | $9.79 |
| 10-27 20:40 | Will Yashar win less than 16% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.8124719101 | $72.31 |
| 10-27 15:33 | Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.26 | $9.10 |
| 10-27 15:33 | Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.7 | $24.50 |
| 10-27 15:32 | Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.7 | $35.00 |
| 10-27 15:32 | Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.26 | $13.00 |
| 10-27 15:25 | Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.27 | $9.18 |
| 10-27 15:25 | Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.67 | $22.78 |
| 10-27 15:24 | Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 10-27 15:24 | Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.69 | $13.80 |
| 10-27 14:40 | Will Yashar win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.145 | $0.72 |
| 10-27 14:18 | Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.27 | $5.40 |