PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

uriv

0xf27e9e04176e0f8435afea9ced88751700caf816

Realised P&L
$2.80
Volume
$5.6k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$524.73

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Yashar win less than 16% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · No0.7910.999$418.37+$86.71
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.2900.565$45.20+$22.00
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2710.440$39.60+$15.21
Will Shas win less than 6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · No0.6600.378$21.55−$16.07
Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.0680.001$0.02−$2.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 20:41Will Likud win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.0010315067$0.77
10-27 20:40Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.84$29.40
10-27 20:40Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.12474$4.37
10-27 20:40Will Yashar win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.1099662921$9.79
10-27 20:40Will Yashar win less than 16% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.8124719101$72.31
10-27 15:33Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.26$9.10
10-27 15:33Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.7$24.50
10-27 15:32Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.7$35.00
10-27 15:32Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.26$13.00
10-27 15:25Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.27$9.18
10-27 15:25Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.67$22.78
10-27 15:24Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.27$5.40
10-27 15:24Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.69$13.80
10-27 14:40Will Yashar win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.145$0.72
10-27 14:18Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.27$5.40