jacemaester
0xf27b739f57212da6ad3b39c10e2cf22df5956104
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $259.5k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $65.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration44.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.232 | 0.930 | $21.7k | +$16.3k |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.169 | 0.830 | $15.5k | +$12.3k |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.276 | 0.947 | $12.9k | +$9.2k |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.548 | $10.1k | +$7.7k |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.402 | 0.974 | $4.0k | +$2.4k |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.278 | 0.950 | $816.95 | +$577.34 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.4k |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs · Timberwolves | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$554.97at 0.526Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$414.23at 0.862Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
- +$195.93at 0.540Magic vs. Suns
- +$65.85at 0.820Pistons vs. Bulls
- +$3.73at 0.964LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 12:11 | Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.016993231 | $2.4k |
| 05-12 07:00 | Timberwolves vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.23 | $23.00 |
| 03-19 01:29 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1570921986 | $6.65 |
| 03-19 01:27 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.25 | $18.31 |
| 03-19 01:26 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1219863518 | $1.2k |
| 03-12 11:40 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.18 |
| 03-12 10:51 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.34 | $77.17 |
| 03-12 10:51 | Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.27 | $375.01 |
| 03-12 10:50 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.65 | $2.2k |
| 03-11 09:55 | Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.27 | $155.25 |
| 03-10 02:25 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.142 | $3.55 |
| 03-10 02:24 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.18 | $61.20 |
| 03-10 02:23 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.5630184878 | $2.0k |
| 03-09 14:27 | Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.22 | $19.60 |
| 03-09 14:26 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.135 | $1.78 |