PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xF26bA20f008a134d8f68C369E3193B8dC2d23f0b-1758823712808

0xf26ba20f008a134d8f68c369e3193b8dc2d23f0b

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$33.6k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$95.38

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 11? · Yes0.1900.250$6.25+$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 10? · Yes0.2400.300$6.00+$1.20
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 11? · Yes0.1700.205$5.74+$0.98
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 11? · Yes0.1400.165$5.61+$0.85
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 11? · Yes0.2000.230$5.52+$0.72
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on October 11? · Yes0.1600.175$5.08+$0.43
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9? · Up0.9701.000$5.00+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 11? · Yes0.2300.245$4.90+$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on October 10? · No0.8700.974$4.87+$0.52
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 10? · No0.9200.950$4.75+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 12? · Yes0.1300.130$4.68+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 10? · No0.8300.900$4.50+$0.35
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on October 10? · No0.9100.895$4.47−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 10? · No0.8600.889$4.45+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 10? · No0.9180.886$4.43−$0.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 14:29Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 10?SELL0.25$6.25
10-10 13:40Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 11?BUY0.2$4.80
10-10 13:25Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on October 11?BUY0.16$4.64
10-10 13:20Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 11?BUY0.18$4.68
10-10 13:00Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 12?BUY0.21$4.62
10-10 12:50Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 11?BUY0.13$4.68
10-10 12:10Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 11?SELL0.19$6.46
10-10 12:10Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 11?BUY0.14$4.76
10-10 12:10Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 11?BUY0.17$4.76
10-10 12:05Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 11?BUY0.23$4.60
10-10 12:05Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 11?BUY0.14$4.76
10-10 11:55Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 12?BUY0.13$4.68
10-10 11:55Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 11?BUY0.11$4.73
10-10 11:35Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 11?BUY0.19$4.75
10-10 11:30Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 12?BUY0.2$4.80