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Traders

ethmar

0xf261ef5a6d606f33df651b92a73956869c22a709

Realised P&L
$-417.27
Volume
$68.0k
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$45.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6860.041$11.92−$190.08
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.2380.009$11.53−$293.46
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? · Yes0.1950.033$10.31−$50.69
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.6200.029$6.61−$132.39
Discord IPO before 2027? · Yes0.6610.064$4.80−$45.20
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$9.00
Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister? · Yes0.3440.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? · No0.2300.000$0.00−$25.00
Lecornu out as French PM by November 30? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00−$5.00
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$222.06
Maduro mugshot released by January 16? · Yes0.1110.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 05:26Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.1311712579$50.00
08-02 14:09Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.16$25.00
08-02 14:09Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999599$2.00
08-02 14:06Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?BUY0.0596002449$11.00
06-14 13:59Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?BUY0.6201291006$139.00
06-04 08:33Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.1683351913$59.00
06-04 08:25Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.1299999967$30.00
05-14 17:05Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?BUY0.0189999981$10.00
05-14 17:05Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.5399999981$100.00
05-14 17:04Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.1199999952$20.00
05-13 04:59Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL0.92$248.65
05-08 11:59Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.7399999998$200.00
05-07 02:13Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0665557404$10.00
05-07 02:13Critical Discord Incident by May 31?SELL0.186600798$19.64
05-07 02:12Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.2699999896$15.00