Rexfer
0xf257929c468235d372c670bb5484bc7b8ed47085
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $139.7k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.297 | 0.485 | $3.7k | +$1.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.500Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$141.13at 0.954Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
- +$133.71at 0.853Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
- +$70.19at 0.967Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
- +$67.90at 0.983Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 06:58 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $96.44 |
| 07-05 22:25 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.86 | $331.10 |
| 07-05 20:00 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.85 | $17.85 |
| 07-05 09:30 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $193.00 |
| 07-05 09:29 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2964323202 | $479.54 |
| 06-23 16:34 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.983 | $1.4k |
| 06-23 15:33 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.983 | $2.0k |
| 06-23 15:32 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.982 | $152.99 |
| 05-15 17:00 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.7k |
| 05-12 16:44 | Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $175.30 |
| 05-12 16:39 | Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $403.00 |
| 05-12 16:37 | Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $542.20 |
| 05-12 16:37 | Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $592.99 |
| 05-12 16:36 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.917 | $0.71 |
| 05-12 15:31 | Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $722.71 |