PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Rexfer

0xf257929c468235d372c670bb5484bc7b8ed47085

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$139.7k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$3.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration82.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2970.485$3.7k+$1.4k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-06 06:58Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.34$96.44
07-05 22:25Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?BUY0.86$331.10
07-05 20:00Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?BUY0.85$17.85
07-05 09:30Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.31$193.00
07-05 09:29Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2964323202$479.54
06-23 16:34Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?BUY0.983$1.4k
06-23 15:33Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?BUY0.983$2.0k
06-23 15:32Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?BUY0.982$152.99
05-15 17:00Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?BUY0.998$1.7k
05-12 16:44Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?BUY0.996$175.30
05-12 16:39Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?BUY0.993$403.00
05-12 16:37Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?BUY0.992$542.20
05-12 16:37Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?BUY0.99$592.99
05-12 16:36Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?BUY0.917$0.71
05-12 15:31Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?BUY0.988$722.71