PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Marciasd

0xf256e3279588213d95b42aa059d5c4ee8c6a70cc

Realised P&L
$6.71
Volume
$5.1k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$10.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 49.5 · Over0.4500.455$10.01+$0.11
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5) · Leicester City FC0.6000.000$0.00$13.80
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · JD Gaming0.4400.000$0.00$12.06
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner · EDward Gaming0.1600.000$0.00$10.32
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 6? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$21.08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 17? · No0.3640.000$0.00$9.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 03:02Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 49.5BUY0.45$9.90
08-25 12:17Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)BUY0.6$13.80
08-17 09:18Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?BUY0.52$30.16
08-06 03:08Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.998$47.90
08-06 03:08Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.001$0.05
08-06 03:07Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 6?BUY0.34$21.08
07-21 11:06LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBUY0.44$12.06
07-10 03:27Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 July 6-12?BUY0.999$15.00
07-10 03:26Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?SELL0.998$52.94
07-10 03:26Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY0.7575$42.80
07-10 03:24Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?BUY0.999$53.00
06-12 05:57Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?SELL0.998$35.96
06-12 05:57Spread: Spain (-2.5)BUY0.49$28.42
06-12 05:55Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.999$36.00
06-03 09:11LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.16$10.32