moneyglow
0xf251edbea0e14bf0b9207e939b9f29fdfb78af9d
- Realised P&L
- $103.23
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $13.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.59at 0.076Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
- +$69.20at 0.180Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?
- +$55.00at 0.052Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
- +$41.70at 0.100Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-16 08:22 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in February? | BUY | 0.059 | $4.13 |
| 02-16 08:20 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in February? | BUY | 0.054 | $0.42 |
| 02-03 05:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? | BUY | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 02-03 05:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 02-03 05:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 01-29 09:57 | Will Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June? | BUY | 0.1099999863 | $6.76 |
| 01-28 23:31 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? | SELL | 0.7073745714 | $49.52 |
| 01-26 02:01 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? | SELL | 0.234576 | $11.73 |
| 01-26 00:57 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January? | SELL | 0.781 | $23.43 |
| 01-25 05:22 | Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 01-25 05:05 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? | SELL | 0.01636105 | $6.54 |
| 01-25 05:03 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January? | SELL | 0.63 | $18.90 |
| 01-23 21:05 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January? | SELL | 0.01092122 | $5.46 |
| 01-23 21:02 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January? | SELL | 0.279 | $8.37 |
| 01-23 06:00 | Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |