0xF2451F31e2F80144c3581AfE70B5D169a6C082e2-1777067423121
0xf2451f31e2f80144c3581afe70b5d169a6c082e2
- Realised P&L
- $-4.21
- Volume
- $214.25
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $8.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.082 | $6.27 | −$3.73 |
| Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.065 | $1.77 | −$1.23 |
| Will UC Sampdoria win on 2026-04-25? · Yes | 0.276 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-25? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.55at 0.691Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$1.00at 0.922Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-31 18:09 | Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? | BUY | 0.1099999685 | $3.00 |
| 05-14 16:49 | Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.803 | $11.77 |
| 05-02 14:29 | Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 05-02 14:26 | Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6819999845 | $10.00 |
| 04-25 18:36 | Will UC Sampdoria win on 2026-04-25? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $0.96 |
| 04-25 18:33 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-25? | SELL | 0.999 | $13.00 |
| 04-25 17:04 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-25? | BUY | 0.92 | $11.94 |
| 04-25 17:02 | Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-25? | BUY | 0.0189999817 | $0.94 |