RiskyWager
0xf244d58b9e0a83ad68b16fb7c940aeb391b7bedd
- Realised P&L
- $4.2k
- Volume
- $477.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,122
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,122
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$583.63at 0.799Will "MLB Opening Night: Yankees vs. Giants" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$461.44at 0.726Solana all time high before 2026?
- +$336.85at 0.856Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET
- +$303.97at 0.385Will "M3GAN 2.0" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (February 3)
- +$301.69at 0.103Will "Those Who Wish Me Dead" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 17:44 | Will "The Whisper Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.999 | $961.85 |
| 09-22 15:13 | Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 34 million views this week? | BUY | 0.998 | $499.00 |
| 09-22 15:13 | Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 34 million views this week? | BUY | 0.997 | $149.55 |
| 09-21 18:45 | Will "The Seemingly Perfect Family" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.9599002375 | $101.03 |
| 09-21 18:44 | Will "The Seemingly Perfect Family" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.9498636364 | $104.49 |
| 09-21 18:43 | Will "The Seemingly Perfect Family" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.18 |
| 09-21 18:42 | Will "The Seemingly Perfect Family" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.902 | $46.90 |
| 09-21 18:42 | Will "The Seemingly Perfect Family" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.901 | $54.06 |
| 09-20 12:09 | Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | SELL | 0.89 | $240.30 |
| 09-20 12:09 | Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.40 |
| 09-19 20:00 | Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 24 million views this week? | BUY | 0.983 | $432.51 |
| 09-19 14:10 | Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.93 | $65.10 |
| 09-19 14:09 | Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.056 | $3.92 |
| 09-19 14:06 | Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.93 | $186.00 |
| 09-18 07:47 | Will "The Seemingly Perfect Family" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.99 | $16.78 |