Raidloner
0xf240e23b43b06e5db8356bedd6146bd6e654f825
- Realised P&L
- $665.22
- Volume
- $126.4k
- Markets traded
- 660
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded660
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$146.82at 0.863Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$84.07at 0.650Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$68.36at 0.993Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?
- +$64.76at 0.965Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by January 31, 2025?
- +$51.20at 0.180Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 07:47 | Will Trump say "Six Seven" in October? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 07:47 | Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 07:46 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" this week? | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $20.00 |
| 10-20 07:21 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.47 | $27.60 |
| 10-12 11:28 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $5.63 |
| 10-12 10:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $20.00 |
| 10-12 10:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9899999952 | $200.00 |
| 10-08 05:41 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.7099999853 | $30.00 |
| 10-08 05:40 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5107753943 | $30.00 |
| 10-08 05:40 | Will Russia enter Havrylivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 05:39 | Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.619999933 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 05:39 | Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 05:39 | Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9589999985 | $20.00 |
| 10-08 05:38 | Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 05:38 | Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $10.00 |