PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Raidloner

0xf240e23b43b06e5db8356bedd6146bd6e654f825

Realised P&L
$665.22
Volume
$126.4k
Markets traded
660
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded660
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9700.992$299.45+$6.45
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.982$294.60+$24.60
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8580.981$264.74+$33.14
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? · No0.9470.958$202.31+$2.31
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7610.964$183.06+$38.37
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? · No0.9420.969$154.29+$4.29
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8970.992$148.72+$14.23
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · No0.9100.945$103.85+$3.85
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.975$102.58+$2.58
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? · No0.9590.984$102.55+$2.55
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.987$98.65+$13.65
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo · No0.7600.976$97.55+$21.55
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.8600.925$53.78+$3.78
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9550.984$51.48+$1.48
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6700.973$48.63+$15.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 07:47Will Trump say "Six Seven" in October?BUY0.699999993$10.00
10-21 07:47Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?BUY0.75$10.00
10-21 07:46Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" this week?BUY0.8899999996$20.00
10-20 07:21Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?SELL0.47$27.60
10-12 11:28Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?SELL0.09$5.63
10-12 10:13Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8799999965$20.00
10-12 10:12Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9899999952$200.00
10-08 05:41Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?BUY0.7099999853$30.00
10-08 05:40Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?BUY0.5107753943$30.00
10-08 05:40Will Russia enter Havrylivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8799999965$10.00
10-08 05:39Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026?BUY0.619999933$5.00
10-08 05:39Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8$10.00
10-08 05:39Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9589999985$20.00
10-08 05:38Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8899999947$10.00
10-08 05:38Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8499999915$10.00