djhjksa8917231hjaksdbcq
0xf23aefbca35bd03d3dd5920112e35f3bdb0bd3f8
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $444.0k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $936.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.097 | $702.99 | −$97.16 |
| Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026? · Yes | 0.551 | 0.495 | $233.07 | −$26.53 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$900.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.718Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?
- +$886.60at 0.138Will Jerome Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December FOMC Press Conference?
- +$727.42at 0.638Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?
- +$626.39at 0.315Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?
- +$609.25at 0.509Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Canada before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 00:14 | Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $17.45 |
| 06-02 00:11 | Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026? | BUY | 0.5994076724 | $271.41 |
| 06-02 00:10 | Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026? | BUY | 0.49994927 | $492.76 |
| 05-12 03:26 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.14 | $88.57 |
| 05-10 23:12 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.3 | $900.00 |
| 04-30 02:24 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.11 | $61.31 |
| 04-30 02:23 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.111 | $58.44 |
| 04-24 14:35 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.106 | $61.18 |
| 04-24 14:34 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.107 | $55.42 |
| 04-14 03:15 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | SELL | 0.2209298579 | $444.30 |
| 04-14 03:15 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.36 | $972.97 |
| 04-14 01:06 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.9 | $222.71 |
| 04-14 01:06 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | BUY | 0.2486242131 | $500.00 |
| 04-14 01:06 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.3699999999 | $1000.00 |
| 04-14 01:02 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1099845271 | $556.79 |