0xf2340271475A9577e088C233DF38c172E14C9C9D-1781054705033
0xf2340271475a9577e088c233df38c172e14c9c9d
- Realised P&L
- $20.96
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $43.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.726 | 0.769 | $43.42 | +$2.41 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| La Velada del Año 6: Plex vs. Fernanfloo · Fernanfloo | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.65at 0.312Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
- +$5.98at 0.341Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
- +$2.76at 0.647Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
- +$2.62at 0.537Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$1.38at 0.785Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 03:27 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.7263179429 | $41.00 |
| 09-13 03:04 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.624 | $19.93 |
| 08-29 16:46 | Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.16 | $2.48 |
| 08-29 16:46 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.625999992 | $20.00 |
| 08-13 22:14 | Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.2099999562 | $3.26 |
| 08-13 22:13 | Will Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo win the next Lima mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.26 |
| 08-13 22:05 | Will Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.045999979 | $2.00 |
| 07-25 18:01 | La Velada del Año 6: Plex vs. Fernanfloo | BUY | 0.1399999426 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 21:23 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.08 |
| 07-19 21:08 | Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | SELL | 0.01 | $0.14 |
| 07-19 20:52 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 07-19 20:44 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina? | SELL | 0.4 | $1.25 |
| 07-19 20:32 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 19:21 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.75 |
| 07-19 19:19 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |