PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf2340271475A9577e088C233DF38c172E14C9C9D-1781054705033

0xf2340271475a9577e088c233df38c172e14c9c9d

Realised P&L
$20.96
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$43.42

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration73.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes0.7260.769$43.42+$2.41
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00$2.00
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$2.00
La Velada del Año 6: Plex vs. Fernanfloo · Fernanfloo0.1400.000$0.00$2.00
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 03:27Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.7263179429$41.00
09-13 03:04Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?SELL0.624$19.93
08-29 16:46Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?SELL0.16$2.48
08-29 16:46Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.625999992$20.00
08-13 22:14Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.2099999562$3.26
08-13 22:13Will Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo win the next Lima mayoral elections?SELL0.006$0.26
08-13 22:05Will Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.045999979$2.00
07-25 18:01La Velada del Año 6: Plex vs. FernanflooBUY0.1399999426$2.00
07-19 21:23Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?SELL0.999$9.08
07-19 21:08Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsSELL0.01$0.14
07-19 20:52Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?SELL0.001$0.03
07-19 20:44Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?SELL0.4$1.25
07-19 20:32Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?BUY0.32$1.00
07-19 19:21Exact Score: Any Other Score?SELL0.06$0.75
07-19 19:19Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.1199998992$1.00