DrawResult
0xf22df9c04256532caf462f5115a4cba8c487de99
- Realised P&L
- $8.51
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $71.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 29? · Up | 0.983 | 1.000 | $70.12 | +$1.17 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 29? · Up | 0.600 | 0.370 | $1.85 | −$1.15 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 29? · Down | 0.620 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$9.29 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 2? · Down | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.10 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1? · Up | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.25 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 13? · Up | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 28? · Up | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 10? · Up | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.60 |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? · Yes | 0.565 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.86at 0.039S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 4?
- +$10.92at 0.863S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 2?
- +$10.75at 0.785S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 20?
- +$10.41at 0.653Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$8.53at 0.926S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 13:30 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 29? | BUY | 0.9828506271 | $68.96 |
| 09-23 13:30 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.9536170213 | $134.46 |
| 09-23 13:14 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 09-22 13:30 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.9867748252 | $141.11 |
| 09-16 13:30 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 09-16 13:14 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-15 13:30 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 15? | BUY | 0.98 | $58.80 |
| 09-14 07:17 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 14? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.20 |
| 09-14 07:15 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 14? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 09-09 13:30 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $79.92 |
| 09-04 13:30 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 4? | BUY | 0.0375083636 | $2.06 |
| 09-02 13:29 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 2? | BUY | 0.96 | $48.00 |
| 09-02 09:51 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 2? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 09-02 08:59 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 2? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 08-31 06:10 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 31? | SELL | 0.155 | $1.55 |