maximus26
0xf22a4c0db5622cbe2820db2db96e0de4e3618219
- Realised P&L
- $-799.53
- Volume
- $14.8k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $576.51
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.02at 0.610Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?
- +$-0.31at 0.500Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?
- +$-13.44at 0.425Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-13.69at 0.870GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027?
- +$-816.40at 0.205Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 00:18 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.01 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 00:18 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.00989947 | $9.90 |
| 11-01 00:18 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? | BUY | 0.007 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 00:18 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 00:18 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio? | BUY | 0.004 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 00:18 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio? | BUY | 0.007 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 00:18 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.005 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 14:46 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | SELL | 0.2013317573 | $25.55 |
| 10-30 13:52 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | SELL | 0.2614312 | $130.72 |
| 10-29 13:34 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.2999999727 | $1.10 |
| 10-29 10:39 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.2966666667 | $8.90 |
| 10-29 10:38 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.6 | $9.83 |
| 10-29 10:34 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 10-29 10:00 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.17 | $195.50 |
| 10-29 09:39 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.17 | $26.35 |