0xf229578d71CB74C794dFA9C47b5D63f1aFcF8583-1768661361956
0xf229578d71cb74c794dfa9c47b5d63f1afcf8583
- Realised P&L
- $-439.29
- Volume
- $15.9k
- Markets traded
- 168
- Open portfolio
- $26.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded168
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-04? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.650 | $26.37 | −$0.41 |
| Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-08-01? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.19 |
| Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2026-08-01? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.76 |
| Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-08-02? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$95.85at 0.590Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?
- +$65.52at 0.500Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?
- +$59.23at 0.440Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$53.61at 0.470United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
- +$48.02at 0.670Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 06:52 | Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.6599999926 | $26.78 |
| 08-02 16:53 | Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.3699999841 | $11.60 |
| 07-31 17:16 | Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.5 | $55.76 |
| 07-30 20:24 | Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.4599999976 | $31.19 |
| 07-15 15:22 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3174999667 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 18:03 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6099999991 | $63.18 |
| 07-07 17:57 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | SELL | 0.907 | $64.24 |
| 07-07 02:18 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.7199999994 | $51.00 |
| 07-07 02:09 | United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.999 | $101.24 |
| 07-06 20:58 | United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4699999972 | $47.63 |
| 07-06 20:56 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? | SELL | 0.91 | $48.18 |
| 07-06 17:49 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.5099999953 | $27.00 |
| 07-03 13:39 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.4099999951 | $26.80 |
| 07-03 03:45 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? | SELL | 0.705 | $93.52 |
| 07-03 00:59 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.489999997 | $65.00 |