PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xf229578d71CB74C794dFA9C47b5D63f1aFcF8583-1768661361956

0xf229578d71cb74c794dfa9c47b5d63f1afcf8583

Realised P&L
$-439.29
Volume
$15.9k
Markets traded
168
Open portfolio
$26.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded168
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-04? · Yes0.6600.650$26.37$0.41
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-08-01? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$31.19
Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2026-08-01? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$55.76
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-08-02? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$11.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 06:52Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-04?BUY0.6599999926$26.78
08-02 16:53Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.3699999841$11.60
07-31 17:16Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.5$55.76
07-30 20:24Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.4599999976$31.19
07-15 15:22Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3174999667$5.00
07-07 18:03Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6099999991$63.18
07-07 17:57Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?SELL0.907$64.24
07-07 02:18Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.7199999994$51.00
07-07 02:09United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceSELL0.999$101.24
07-06 20:58United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4699999972$47.63
07-06 20:56Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?SELL0.91$48.18
07-06 17:49Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.5099999953$27.00
07-03 13:39Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.4099999951$26.80
07-03 03:45Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?SELL0.705$93.52
07-03 00:59Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.489999997$65.00