0xf21de9ec0b4ba14047ee600905bf0879e7142bfe
0xf21de9ec0b4ba14047ee600905bf0879e7142bfe
- Realised P&L
- $-35.27
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $12.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET · Up | 0.654 | 1.000 | $12.24 | +$4.24 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.57at 0.261Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$25.48at 0.191Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
- +$16.10at 0.243Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
- +$14.14at 0.243Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
- +$9.43at 0.456Ethereum Up or Down - July 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 00:44 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 00:44 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 00:43 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 00:37 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 00:35 | BNB Up or Down - September 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 00:32 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | BUY | 0.0566037725 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 00:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 00:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 00:21 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 00:20 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 00:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 00:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 00:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 00:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 23:55 | BNB Up or Down - September 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |