Thierry-tr7
0xf21ceccd6701d533e5aabf502b4fae23d3949d55
- Realised P&L
- $-56.58
- Volume
- $7.5k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $15.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.026 | $15.43 | −$42.81 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? · No | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET · Down | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET · Down | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET · Down | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET · Up | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET · Up | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.27at 0.705Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?
- +$11.67at 0.763Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?
- +$9.16at 0.782Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?
- +$7.75at 0.906Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?
- +$4.82at 0.518Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 16:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | SELL | 0.74 | $0.49 |
| 06-21 16:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | SELL | 0.88 | $4.53 |
| 06-21 16:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.8599998762 | $5.00 |
| 06-21 16:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | SELL | 0.77 | $5.27 |
| 06-21 16:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |
| 06-21 16:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | SELL | 0.62 | $5.25 |
| 06-21 16:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | SELL | 0.41 | $3.36 |
| 06-21 16:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 06-21 16:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 06-21 15:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.72 | $5.07 |
| 06-21 15:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 06-21 15:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | SELL | 0.72 | $5.00 |
| 06-21 15:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 06-21 15:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | SELL | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 06-21 15:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |