W1nner
0xf21a9c32ae929e97c7b518912e2e7f04a6f4b6e3
- Realised P&L
- $485.82
- Volume
- $714.2k
- Markets traded
- 276
- Open portfolio
- $61.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded276
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.9kat 0.230UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)
- +$5.7kat 0.310UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$4.7kat 0.824Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$4.1kat 0.843Bitcoin all time high by June 30?
- +$3.0kat 0.835Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 04:24 | Will Hyperliquid reach $150 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $20.00 |
| 09-12 04:23 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9188679144 | $200.00 |
| 09-12 04:21 | Will Hyperliquid reach $130 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8964143425 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 04:20 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $200.00 |
| 09-12 04:20 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.893395353 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 01:08 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 09:12 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5499999976 | $115.00 |
| 09-10 09:12 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5499999976 | $115.00 |
| 09-10 09:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5499999976 | $115.00 |
| 09-10 09:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5499999976 | $115.00 |
| 08-30 02:32 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5199999996 | $200.00 |
| 08-30 02:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.52 | $300.00 |
| 08-30 02:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4899999991 | $100.00 |
| 08-29 20:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999989 | $98.87 |
| 08-29 20:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999995 | $100.00 |