W1nner
0xf21a9c32ae929e97c7b518912e2e7f04a6f4b6e3
- Realised P&L
- $-13.2k
- Volume
- $704.5k
- Markets traded
- 295
- Open portfolio
- $69.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded295
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.9kat 0.230UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)
- +$5.7kat 0.310UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$4.7kat 0.824Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$4.1kat 0.843Bitcoin all time high by June 30?
- +$3.0kat 0.835Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 00:37 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999991 | $195.16 |
| 11-01 00:35 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.7199999994 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 00:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $110.00 |
| 10-25 21:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $100.00 |
| 10-17 12:42 | Will Hyperliquid reach $120 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9105755429 | $200.00 |
| 10-17 12:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $500.00 |
| 10-16 10:57 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? | BUY | 0.8099999993 | $100.00 |
| 10-16 10:54 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? | BUY | 0.93 | $200.00 |
| 10-16 00:59 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.8760453853 | $1.0k |
| 10-15 16:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $100.00 |
| 10-15 16:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999887 | $30.00 |
| 10-11 10:52 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.05 | $11.60 |
| 10-11 10:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $100.00 |
| 10-11 10:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999996 | $100.00 |
| 10-11 10:26 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.9699999998 | $100.00 |