SnowNeedMoney
0xf21899664f26b9bc282a0f5f2ea360225b9037a7
- Realised P&L
- $55.63
- Volume
- $19.1k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $222.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.980 | $139.49 | +$5.69 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027? · Yes | 0.255 | 0.144 | $70.43 | −$54.42 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.125 | $12.55 | −$16.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$123.16at 0.620TikTok sale announced before April?
- +$118.73at 0.850Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$74.97at 0.830TikTok sale announced before May?
- +$65.69at 0.545Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$37.40at 0.386TikTok sale announced by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 12:19 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027? | BUY | 0.1184128776 | $5.03 |
| 10-15 15:38 | Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $3.05 |
| 09-11 13:37 | Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? | BUY | 0.925 | $3.00 |
| 09-11 13:36 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.962 | $10.00 |
| 06-22 10:03 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.936999999 | $30.00 |
| 06-21 17:49 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999405 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 09:57 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.938 | $93.80 |
| 06-15 02:50 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.172 | $4.14 |
| 06-13 03:14 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999975 | $20.00 |
| 06-12 14:57 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 14:56 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | BUY | 0.9299999986 | $20.00 |
| 06-12 14:55 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | BUY | 0.9779414211 | $100.00 |
| 06-02 14:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $12.65 |
| 06-02 14:43 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.95 | $135.52 |
| 02-27 10:59 | Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0328295699 | $4.92 |