0xf21870c123f82e05745b319E02C398D7CF7c8e12-1767758271722
0xf21870c123f82e05745b319e02c398d7cf7c8e12
- Realised P&L
- $101.72
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 128
- Open portfolio
- $89.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded128
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$138.97at 0.151Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$40.90at 0.410Canada recession before 2027?
- +$18.18at 0.216Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
- +$13.93at 0.071Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
- +$13.20at 0.590Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 18:11 | Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | SELL | 0.2998269231 | $1.40 |
| 07-31 18:11 | Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | SELL | 0.3033344627 | $12.53 |
| 07-28 15:43 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $172.73 |
| 05-29 18:04 | Canada recession before 2027? | SELL | 0.969 | $70.90 |
| 04-05 12:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999724 | $2.46 |
| 04-05 12:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4799998701 | $1.23 |
| 04-05 04:28 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.996 | $1.33 |
| 04-05 02:09 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.9299999628 | $1.25 |
| 04-05 02:09 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.25 |
| 03-14 16:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.44999988 | $1.45 |
| 03-14 16:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.50 |
| 03-14 16:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999869 | $1.48 |
| 03-14 16:52 | Canada recession before 2027? | BUY | 0.4099999959 | $30.00 |
| 03-14 16:46 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? | BUY | 0.0564032432 | $5.00 |
| 03-14 16:46 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | BUY | 0.0379999965 | $10.00 |