PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xf21870c123f82e05745b319E02C398D7CF7c8e12-1767758271722

0xf21870c123f82e05745b319e02c398d7cf7c8e12

Realised P&L
$101.72
Volume
$5.6k
Markets traded
128
Open portfolio
$89.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded128
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? · Yes0.0540.320$73.43+$60.94
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.3500.085$12.14$37.86
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0900.135$1.49+$0.49
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0250.025$0.98$0.02
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.3000.207$0.69$0.31
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1900.117$0.62$0.38
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.004$0.50$0.50
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.6200.055$0.09$0.91
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET · Up0.7600.000$0.00$0.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET · Up0.3500.000$0.00$4.94
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET · Down0.5800.000$0.00$0.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET · Up0.2200.000$0.00$1.09
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET · Up0.4500.000$0.00$1.48
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$0.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 18:11Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?SELL0.2998269231$1.40
07-31 18:11Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?SELL0.3033344627$12.53
07-28 15:43Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.77$172.73
05-29 18:04Canada recession before 2027?SELL0.969$70.90
04-05 12:50Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETBUY0.4599999724$2.46
04-05 12:26Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETBUY0.4799998701$1.23
04-05 04:28US forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL0.996$1.33
04-05 02:09US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.9299999628$1.25
04-05 02:09Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.18$1.25
03-14 16:55Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.44999988$1.45
03-14 16:54Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETSELL0.99$1.50
03-14 16:54Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETBUY0.9699999869$1.48
03-14 16:52Canada recession before 2027?BUY0.4099999959$30.00
03-14 16:46Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?BUY0.0564032432$5.00
03-14 16:46Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?BUY0.0379999965$10.00