belhume
0xf2183b850ff9d53b920ab42c236ef55b042b7939
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $223.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-37.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 NL West title? · No | 0.989 | 0.999 | $100.96 | +$0.96 |
| Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 NL West title? · Yes | 0.992 | 0.999 | $100.67 | +$0.67 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.685 | $22.24 | −$2.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.35at 0.890Eagles vs. Commanders
- +$8.03at 0.849Will the Detroit Pistons finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?
- +$6.38at 0.940Lakers vs. Clippers
- +$6.20at 0.880Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?
- +$4.60at 0.947Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 04:32 | Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.9889999999 | $100.00 |
| 08-14 01:55 | Spread: PIT (-2.5) | BUY | 0.99 | $100.00 |
| 08-08 00:54 | Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) | BUY | 0.9876788065 | $100.00 |
| 07-08 18:51 | Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999969 | $25.00 |
| 07-01 21:24 | Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 NL West title? | BUY | 0.9889999999 | $100.00 |
| 07-01 21:23 | Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 NL West title? | BUY | 0.9918162658 | $100.00 |
| 05-21 02:10 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.41 | $100.41 |
| 05-19 05:47 | Will Chet Holmgren win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | BUY | 0.991 | $80.00 |
| 04-16 06:50 | Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.9599999904 | $40.00 |
| 04-16 06:46 | Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? | BUY | 0.8921729481 | $10.00 |
| 04-09 07:21 | Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? | BUY | 0.9590755144 | $72.09 |
| 03-31 07:37 | Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs? | SELL | 0.58 | $11.70 |
| 03-31 07:35 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | BUY | 0.9469999996 | $82.27 |
| 03-31 07:34 | Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.7099999918 | $20.00 |
| 03-31 07:33 | Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.1854062568 | $59.44 |