PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

baitiaobai

0xf2164d15c8392b273c078b56858ce4e824974844

Realised P&L
$2.4k
Volume
$172.7k
Markets traded
913
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded913
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 00:30Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8?BUY0.858$42.90
10-06 14:15Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 6?BUY0.8132213374$74.55
10-06 13:21Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 6?BUY0.06$1.27
10-05 12:47Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 5?BUY0.9673856209$34.04
10-02 11:55Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 2?SELL0.999$243.36
10-02 11:51Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 2?BUY0.977391637$148.19
10-02 11:51Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 2?BUY0.9747474451$89.66
09-20 15:42Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 20?SELL0.12$4.01
09-20 15:17Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 20?BUY0.1788237024$12.16
09-18 06:14Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18?BUY0.13$1.77
09-16 14:36Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 16?BUY0.16$3.20
09-13 05:27Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 13?BUY0.169$15.89
09-13 05:27Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 13?BUY0.1653197$16.53
09-13 04:48Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 13?BUY0.02$2.72
09-12 16:03Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 12?BUY0.03$2.17