baitiaobai
0xf2164d15c8392b273c078b56858ce4e824974844
- Realised P&L
- $2.4k
- Volume
- $172.7k
- Markets traded
- 913
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded913
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$263.65at 0.051Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 19?
- +$158.22at 0.086Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 17?
- +$148.80at 0.004Will the highest temperature in London be 1°C on January 6?
- +$131.24at 0.150Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 5?
- +$111.30at 0.289Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 00:30 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.858 | $42.90 |
| 10-06 14:15 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.8132213374 | $74.55 |
| 10-06 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.27 |
| 10-05 12:47 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.9673856209 | $34.04 |
| 10-02 11:55 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $243.36 |
| 10-02 11:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.977391637 | $148.19 |
| 10-02 11:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.9747474451 | $89.66 |
| 09-20 15:42 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.12 | $4.01 |
| 09-20 15:17 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.1788237024 | $12.16 |
| 09-18 06:14 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.77 |
| 09-16 14:36 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 09-13 05:27 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.169 | $15.89 |
| 09-13 05:27 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.1653197 | $16.53 |
| 09-13 04:48 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.72 |
| 09-12 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.03 | $2.17 |