saykoth122
0xf215e22c34678d3e53d1b74fafa6a2b0111e8559
- Realised P&L
- $316.10
- Volume
- $56.6k
- Markets traded
- 130
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded130
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in August? · No | 0.988 | 0.988 | $1.0k | +$0.02 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $45 Week of August 10 2026? · No | 0.996 | 0.976 | $373.22 | −$7.78 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 Week of August 10 2026? · No | 0.990 | 0.965 | $105.18 | −$2.78 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 Week of August 10 2026? · No | 0.990 | 0.995 | $5.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.412 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.63 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? · No | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? · No | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.90 |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · England | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.20at 0.440Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5
- +$50.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
- +$49.95at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
- +$49.00at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
- +$49.00at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 11:09 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 Week of August 10 2026? | BUY | 0.9900792079 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 16:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $45 Week of August 10 2026? | BUY | 0.9970328756 | $150.00 |
| 08-08 04:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 Week of August 10 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $82.17 |
| 08-08 04:36 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 Week of August 10 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $20.79 |
| 08-08 04:34 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 Week of August 10 2026? | BUY | 0.9900594059 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 04:33 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $45 Week of August 10 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $6.00 |
| 08-08 04:33 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $45 Week of August 10 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $18.00 |
| 08-08 04:33 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $45 Week of August 10 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $55.00 |
| 08-08 04:32 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $45 Week of August 10 2026? | BUY | 0.9959292889 | $120.00 |
| 08-08 04:31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $45 Week of August 10 2026? | BUY | 0.9894814487 | $32.00 |
| 08-07 14:59 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $77.50 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $80.00 |
| 08-07 14:56 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $412.50 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.9980335673 | $150.00 |
| 08-07 14:56 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $457.50 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.9977467386 | $60.00 |
| 08-07 14:54 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.00 |
| 08-07 14:53 | Will Meta (META) finish week of August 3 above $530? | BUY | 0.9979998413 | $6.00 |