pipilos
0xf210c52d246edece6f5ad1399c3202068d300328
- Realised P&L
- $481.47
- Volume
- $51.4k
- Markets traded
- 4,019
- Open portfolio
- $422.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,019
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.135 | $266.63 | +$29.63 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.034 | $156.08 | +$4.08 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.001 | $0.28 | −$56.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$977.70at 0.190US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$718.12at 0.577US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$151.53at 0.032US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$19.31at 0.053Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
- +$15.31at 0.195Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 11:57 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.032624925 | $152.00 |
| 10-02 11:57 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.047 | $157.61 |
| 09-26 18:03 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $237.00 |
| 09-14 12:22 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.3114029745 | $1.0k |
| 09-08 12:15 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $56.69 |
| 06-14 23:02 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.8250132521 | $2.4k |
| 05-28 18:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999212 | $1.36 |
| 05-28 17:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5399998903 | $1.28 |
| 05-28 16:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7099998619 | $1.44 |
| 05-28 15:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.28 | $1.26 |
| 05-28 15:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999313 | $1.04 |
| 05-28 14:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.8099999817 | $1.77 |
| 05-28 13:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6899998484 | $1.32 |
| 05-28 13:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.7799999149 | $1.65 |
| 05-28 13:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5399998105 | $1.14 |