jackhasbro
0xf21094e823de837e4146f194ec4c837a7ce53271
- Realised P&L
- $-730.81
- Volume
- $13.4k
- Markets traded
- 135
- Open portfolio
- $129.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded135
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.169 | 0.055 | $118.25 | −$244.75 |
| Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? · Yes | 0.182 | 0.045 | $11.14 | −$33.86 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.86 |
| Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? · Yes | 0.164 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.914 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.80at 0.367US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$76.81at 0.265Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$35.30at 0.150Magic vs. Celtics
- +$21.29at 0.399Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Unión: O/U 2.5
- +$18.56at 0.510Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-17 05:07 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.276 | $2.76 |
| 04-12 17:59 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.54 |
| 04-12 15:38 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.085 | $7.96 |
| 04-12 15:15 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12? | BUY | 0.27 | $5.21 |
| 04-12 15:11 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | SELL | 0.06 | $8.19 |
| 04-12 14:44 | Will Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.21 | $5.37 |
| 04-12 14:43 | Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.27 | $5.25 |
| 04-12 14:28 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-12? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.43 |
| 04-12 02:56 | UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.31 | $2.97 |
| 04-12 01:31 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves | SELL | 0.024 | $0.41 |
| 04-12 01:31 | Panthers vs. Maple Leafs | SELL | 0.03 | $0.52 |
| 04-12 01:31 | Will Nashville SC win on 2026-04-11? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.60 |
| 04-12 01:18 | Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-11? | BUY | 0.28 | $3.28 |
| 04-12 01:16 | SC Internacional vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 04-12 01:01 | Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.22 | $3.38 |