0xf20528196b64f6e110059664c84aa6fc734c90d8
0xf20528196b64f6e110059664c84aa6fc734c90d8
- Realised P&L
- $13.36
- Volume
- $173.58
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $1.72
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.790 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.175 | $0.73 | −$0.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.28at 0.237Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$3.63at 0.268Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$3.45at 0.278Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,350 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.268Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.37at 0.300US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 02:54 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 09:49 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 15:49 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 07:48 | Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 23:48 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 20:32 | Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 12:12 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 15:44 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 08:18 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $207 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 00:02 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 13:23 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 15:42 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 18:05 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 10:04 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:47 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |