chickenburgered
0xf1fc40321494db5d39e261a513aa929c28bddd99
- Realised P&L
- $-148.72
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $104.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.22at 0.354Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 15?
- +$16.16at 0.522Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 14?
- +$16.00at 0.605Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 14?
- +$15.35at 0.702Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 16?
- +$14.96at 0.440Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 12:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |