tunatyler
0xf1f9a438f2697381b4ac8eb283d6f4dd772d1245
- Realised P&L
- $269.1k
- Volume
- $14.73M
- Markets traded
- 2,262
- Open portfolio
- $172.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,262
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.4kat 0.191Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$13.6kat 0.703US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$13.4kat 0.445Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
- +$13.3kat 0.905Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$12.9kat 0.241Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 23:21 | Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.013 | $20.83 |
| 10-30 03:05 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $2.5k |
| 10-29 17:54 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.5205704927 | $15.9k |
| 10-29 17:53 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $5.1k |
| 10-29 17:53 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $5.4k |
| 10-29 17:52 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $6.0k |
| 10-29 17:51 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $6.8k |
| 10-29 17:51 | Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.7848605303 | $2.0k |
| 10-29 17:50 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.66 | $13.2k |
| 10-29 03:47 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat? | BUY | 0.69 | $276.00 |
| 10-28 02:34 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.902 | $2.71 |
| 10-28 02:34 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.904 | $101.25 |
| 10-28 00:47 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.52 | $345.89 |
| 10-27 20:33 | Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.35 | $92.08 |
| 10-27 20:33 | Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.34 | $110.95 |