erevan
0xf1f4c9d0b410671bc3d86732b7c841ac64e98e52
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $338.4k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $20.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.45076ers vs. Suns
- +$1.0kat 0.540Timberwolves vs. Clippers
- +$442.20at 0.075Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?
- +$75.35at 0.006Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?
- +$22.97at 0.083Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 19:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17? | SELL | 0.017 | $70.41 |
| 09-16 17:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.028614583 | $80.00 |
| 09-16 17:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.026 | $35.00 |
| 09-16 17:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.003 | $9.68 |
| 08-24 15:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 25? | BUY | 0.102999999 | $83.79 |
| 08-24 14:40 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $13.00 |
| 08-23 06:31 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in August? | BUY | 0.0646116896 | $47.00 |
| 08-23 06:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? | SELL | 0.008 | $40.00 |
| 08-13 11:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 August 10-16? | BUY | 0.0108686599 | $50.00 |
| 08-12 14:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 12? | SELL | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 08-12 14:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 13? | SELL | 0.0181256394 | $45.64 |
| 08-12 08:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 13? | BUY | 0.025 | $33.00 |
| 08-12 07:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 12? | BUY | 0.005 | $15.00 |
| 08-12 07:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 13? | BUY | 0.0269999985 | $17.00 |
| 08-08 14:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.67 |