PolyBot

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Traders

erevan

0xf1f4c9d0b410671bc3d86732b7c841ac64e98e52

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$338.4k
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$20.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 10? · Yes0.0110.017$20.82+$6.94
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 August 10-16? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$74.23
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$13.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 26? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$14.96
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 27? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$36.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 3? · No0.0060.000$0.00−$30.00
Dvalishvili vs. Nurmagomedov · Nurmagomedov0.7200.000$0.00−$57.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 2? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$4.76
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 30? · No0.0120.000$0.00−$21.94
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 28? · No0.0460.000$0.00−$248.58
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November? · Yes0.1170.000$0.00−$7.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 25? · Yes0.1030.000$0.00−$83.79
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 22? · No0.0060.000$0.00−$15.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 18? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00−$54.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 19:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17?SELL0.017$70.41
09-16 17:57Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17?BUY0.028614583$80.00
09-16 17:41Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17?BUY0.026$35.00
09-16 17:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 17?BUY0.003$9.68
08-24 15:55Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 25?BUY0.102999999$83.79
08-24 14:40Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?BUY0.004$13.00
08-23 06:31Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in August?BUY0.0646116896$47.00
08-23 06:16Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?SELL0.008$40.00
08-13 11:40Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 August 10-16?BUY0.0108686599$50.00
08-12 14:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 12?SELL0.001$3.00
08-12 14:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 13?SELL0.0181256394$45.64
08-12 08:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 13?BUY0.025$33.00
08-12 07:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 12?BUY0.005$15.00
08-12 07:10Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 13?BUY0.0269999985$17.00
08-08 14:21Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 8?BUY0.001$0.67