PolyBot

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Traders

runnin

0xf1f1431412b49e16916e7c95b1551564b94c2d5f

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$365.3k
Markets traded
733
Open portfolio
$895.18

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded733
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.9700.987$305.10+$5.10
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.5420.800$184.39+$59.39
Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch? · No0.3700.905$81.45+$48.15
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by August 31? · No0.9900.985$59.69$0.31
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on August 31? · Yes0.9830.977$59.58$0.42
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? · No0.7300.745$51.03+$1.03
Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed? · No0.9300.940$50.54+$0.54
Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026? · No0.9020.935$41.47+$1.47
Will Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be delayed? · No0.5000.655$32.75+$7.75
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.3350.191$19.90$15.10
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.0780.013$4.17$20.83
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · Yes0.2100.135$3.21$1.79
Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in August? · Yes0.0190.012$1.89$1.11
Will Starmer say "Labour" during resignation? · No0.2200.000$0.00$6.50
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$71.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 13:07Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by August 31?BUY0.9900793386$60.00
08-04 13:00Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in August?BUY0.0189999939$3.00
08-04 12:58Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on August 31?BUY0.9833650677$60.00
07-29 10:56Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.3349999966$35.00
07-29 10:51Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.9699999999$150.00
07-29 10:46Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.9699999999$150.00
07-27 10:34Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by July 31?BUY0.999$175.00
07-27 10:29Will Avengers: Doomsday be delayed?BUY0.929999995$50.00
07-27 10:28Will Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse be delayed?BUY0.5$25.00
07-27 10:26Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31?BUY0.0149720472$3.00
07-27 10:26Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.8799999789$20.00
07-27 10:25Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?BUY0.9399999989$33.00
07-27 10:17Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.7299999888$50.00
07-27 10:15Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?BUY0.9018830508$40.00
07-27 10:04Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?SELL0.13$13.00